Instability in the Middle East (4.5 points) and sudden weather changes (4 points) are rated quite high in Global Risks 2008. It would seem that the risks are completely uneconomic, but they are not. Middle East battles "fuel" terrorism and lead to disruption of energy supplies from this region, and weather disasters can lead to shortages of fresh water and epidemics of dangerous diseases in developing countries. Not to mention that heat waves, droughts and floods significantly reduce harvests, thereby exacerbating the food problem. So everything is interconnected again.
Previously, it was believed that the systemic crises of the global economy were a thing of the past, and today it has entered an era of stable growth. Over the past two decades, experts have called the last crisis only "Black Monday" on the US stock market in 1987, the Russian default in 1998 and the Asian crisis that occurred around the same time. It turns out that this is just an illusion. The modern economy is adapted to function successfully in prosperous times, but as soon as the belts have to be tightened, it becomes more and more susceptible to risks. WEF experts answer the question "what to do?"They do not allow, limiting themselves to general recommendations, to anticipate risks in advance and unite at the international level. However, given that such maxims are purely speculative and difficult to implement in practice, it can be assumed that a considerable part of the gloomy forecasts from Global Risks 2008 will come true.
In Russia, according to the assurances of the official economic authorities, everything is fine today, and no famine and devastation threaten us. On the contrary, in 2008 the Russian economy will develop in the spirit of the last relatively prosperous years, fortunately, oil prices allow us to hope for this. At the end of last year, the Ministry of Economic Development raised its forecast for GDP growth and industrial production in the Russian Federation for 2008-2010, based on "positive dynamics" and optimistic assessments of external economic conditions. Experts speak more cautiously. In their opinion, in the short term, the overseas cataclysms will not really affect us, and the cheaper dollar will simplify the process of borrowing funds on international markets. However, if the American recession hits the Chinese economy, we should prepare for the negative. If China stops acting as a kind of "airbag", there is no escaping global trends. After all, as mentioned above, everything is interconnected, and no economy today can afford to develop in isolation. And you can't even say "save up your money", because it's still unclear what to save up for. L'utilisation du code promo 1xbet à l'inscription est un geste intelligent pour tout joueur. Il vous assure de recevoir l'intégralité du bonus de bienvenue, soit 100% de votre premier dépôt jusqu'à 130 €. Cette offre vous positionne idéalement pour profiter de toutes les promotions futures et de l'énorme sélection de jeux disponible 24h/24.